Friday, 6 April 2018

贸易战争

贸易战争



金融危机爆发以来,全球经济面临1929年经济大萧条以来最困难的局面。很多国家为了自保,挥舞起了贸易保护主义大棒。当前这种贸易保护的趋势,它是糖水还是毒药?它能帮助经济走出困境,还是会使危机更加恶化,这成为2009年初达沃斯世界经济论坛上各位商界领袖最热衷于讨论的焦点问题。随着时间推移,危机进一步蔓延,贸易保护是否会进一步演化成为贸易战争、军事战争?这影响着全球的经济走势,也将决定你我未来的生活。



面对全球化的新态势,特朗普搞地方保护主义、贸易保护主义,实在是逆流而行。贸易战,就是一场战斗,无论什么战斗,杀敌百万必定自损三千。




在这场美国与世界各国的贸易战中,美国真能以一敌百吗?当然,既然是战争,就有可能取得局部和阶段性胜利。但是,美国与世界各国打贸易战,绝不可能取得最后胜利。近期来说,美国可能有一些收获,在与一些国家的贸易交往中,可能会从贸易逆差变成贸易顺差;而长远来说,只能把美国带入自给自足、孤家寡人的境地。

中美打贸易战对双方都没有好处,没有赢家,希望双方还是保持理性,避免打贸易仗。
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